My notes on the 2004 election

2004 Presidential Election

Key battle States
• Florida
• Ohio
o Has lost more manufacturing jobs since 2000 than was the margin of victory in the 2000 election.
o Farm bill will help Bush
• Louisiana
• Michegan- farm bill may go Bush
• Wisconson- farm bill may go Bush
• Pennsylvania- Bush is spending a lot of time there, this may be a real battle.



West Virginia- With the Steel tariffs recinded W.V. should go against Bush unlike 2000

Oregon was lost in 2000 but the GOP may be able to win it.

We lost New Mexico in 2000 but have a chance in 2004 (unless VP for Dems is Bill Richardson Gov of New Mexico*)


Targets for Dems
• Florida- Least competitive
• Louisiana- Who’s the VP for the Dems*?
• Arizona-*
• Nevada-*
• New Mexico-*
• Ohio- big battle for 20 electoral votes


New England- New Hampshire for Bush the rest for the Dems.

Misouri will go Dem if Gephardt wins nomination